Canton, NY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of St. Lawrence County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 43° Low 32° Rain 27%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 36 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 28° | 7% |
| US model (GFS) | 43° | 32° | 19% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 45° | 34° | 39% |
| German model (ICON) | 42° | 32° | 28% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 44° | 33° | 43% |
| The average | 43° | 32° | 27% |
High 39° Low 30° Rain 10%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 22 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 41° | 27° | 24% |
| US model (GFS) | 38° | 31° | 3% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 41° | 30° | 2% |
| German model (ICON) | 40° | 30° | 5% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 38° | 30° | 15% |
| The average | 39° | 30° | 10% |
High 39° Low 33° Rain 74%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 48 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 41° | 28° | 52% |
| US model (GFS) | 38° | 34° | 55% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 39° | 35° | 90% |
| German model (ICON) | 39° | 32° | 75% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 37° | 34° | 100% |
| The average | 39° | 33° | 74% |
High 41° Low 32° Rain 35%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 49 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 42° | 28° | 23% |
| US model (GFS) | 38° | 31° | 34% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 42° | 33° | 26% |
| German model (ICON) | 42° | 35° | 22% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 40° | 34° | 71% |
| The average | 41° | 32° | 35% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.