Minority Report

Canton, OH — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Stark County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 48°   Low 40°   Rain 77%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 74 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 26% against a group average of 77%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—34°26%
US model (GFS)48°41°64%
European model (ECMWF)49°41°100%
German model (ICON)48°42°100%
Canadian model (GEM)49°42°97%
The average48°40°77%

Friday, November 13

High 43°   Low 33°   Rain 46%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 56 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 76% against a group average of 46%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service41°33°76%
US model (GFS)42°34°30%
European model (ECMWF)44°33°71%
German model (ICON)43°33°20%
Canadian model (GEM)44°34°33%
The average43°33°46%

Saturday, November 14

High 43°   Low 33°   Rain 53%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 50 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 80% against a group average of 53%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°34°42%
US model (GFS)41°34°39%
European model (ECMWF)43°32°80%
German model (ICON)44°33°30%
Canadian model (GEM)43°32°76%
The average43°33°53%

Sunday, November 15

High 45°   Low 35°   Rain 27%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 52 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 67% against a group average of 27%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°33°16%
US model (GFS)45°37°20%
European model (ECMWF)43°38°16%
German model (ICON)47°35°15%
Canadian model (GEM)42°32°67%
The average45°35°27%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.