Minority Report

Canton, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Van Zandt County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 76°   Low 50°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—47°1%
US model (GFS)77°48°0%
European model (ECMWF)76°53°0%
German model (ICON)75°51°0%
Canadian model (GEM)76°50°0%
The average76°50°0%

Friday, November 13

High 67°   Low 48°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service67°43°1%
US model (GFS)67°48°1%
European model (ECMWF)66°51°0%
German model (ICON)65°47°0%
Canadian model (GEM)70°49°0%
The average67°48°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 62°   Low 44°   Rain 27%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 41 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 5% against a group average of 27%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service63°43°46%
US model (GFS)64°43°12%
European model (ECMWF)62°46°35%
German model (ICON)59°42°39%
Canadian model (GEM)62°46°5%
The average62°44°27%

Sunday, November 15

High 53°   Low 44°   Rain 92%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 18 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 80% against a group average of 92%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°42°92%
US model (GFS)54°45°80%
European model (ECMWF)52°45°98%
German model (ICON)50°43°98%
Canadian model (GEM)53°44°90%
The average53°44°92%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.