Minority Report

Canyon City, OR — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Grant County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 67°   Low 42°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service66°41°0%
US model (GFS)69°46°0%
European model (ECMWF)62°37°0%
German model (ICON)67°45°0%
Canadian model (GEM)68°42°0%
The average67°42°0%

Friday, November 13

High 60°   Low 40°   Rain 75%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 57 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 43% against a group average of 75%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service59°35°100%
US model (GFS)59°42°58%
European model (ECMWF)61°38°100%
German model (ICON)60°45°75%
Canadian model (GEM)63°41°43%
The average60°40°75%

Saturday, November 14

High 52°   Low 37°   Rain 19%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 44 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 49% against a group average of 19%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°35°49%
US model (GFS)50°38°6%
European model (ECMWF)50°36°13%
German model (ICON)52°39°5%
Canadian model (GEM)55°36°23%
The average52°37°19%

Sunday, November 15

High 46°   Low 38°   Rain 88%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 14 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°34°87%
US model (GFS)47°41°89%
European model (ECMWF)41°35°90%
German model (ICON)46°40°95%
Canadian model (GEM)48°39°81%
The average46°38°88%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.