Minority Report

Canyon, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Randall County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 72°   Low 39°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—38°0%
US model (GFS)71°36°0%
European model (ECMWF)72°42°0%
German model (ICON)72°41°0%
Canadian model (GEM)71°39°0%
The average72°39°0%

Friday, November 13

High 62°   Low 38°   Rain 2%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 10 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service62°40°10%
US model (GFS)65°40°1%
European model (ECMWF)62°40°0%
German model (ICON)57°38°0%
Canadian model (GEM)62°34°0%
The average62°38°2%

Saturday, November 14

High 49°   Low 40°   Rain 83%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 14°, rain spread 17 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 94% against a group average of 83%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°40°77%
US model (GFS)59°38°79%
European model (ECMWF)46°41°94%
German model (ICON)45°42°83%
Canadian model (GEM)45°38°81%
The average49°40°83%

Sunday, November 15

High 47°   Low 40°   Rain 46%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 71 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 8% against a group average of 46%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°36°8%
US model (GFS)52°43°79%
European model (ECMWF)46°41°43%
German model (ICON)44°42°50%
Canadian model (GEM)44°38°48%
The average47°40°46%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.