Minority Report

Cape May Court House, NJ — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Cape May County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 65°   Low 48°   Rain 50%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 86 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 96% against a group average of 50%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—36°30%
US model (GFS)66°50°26%
European model (ECMWF)67°50°96%
German model (ICON)64°53°90%
Canadian model (GEM)65°50°10%
The average65°48°50%

Friday, November 13

High 51°   Low 37°   Rain 66%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 42 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 91% against a group average of 66%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°34°49%
US model (GFS)50°36°49%
European model (ECMWF)50°38°82%
German model (ICON)53°39°58%
Canadian model (GEM)50°38°91%
The average51°37°66%

Saturday, November 14

High 48°   Low 36°   Rain 39%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 73 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 2% against a group average of 39%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°35°2%
US model (GFS)46°35°16%
European model (ECMWF)47°36°37%
German model (ICON)48°39°63%
Canadian model (GEM)46°38°75%
The average48°36°39%

Sunday, November 15

High 51°   Low 39°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°35°0%
US model (GFS)49°38°0%
European model (ECMWF)50°39°2%
German model (ICON)50°43°0%
Canadian model (GEM)50°41°0%
The average51°39°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.