Carlisle, PA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Cumberland County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 56° Low 42° Rain 71%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 56 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 37° | 44% |
| US model (GFS) | 54° | 42° | 54% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 59° | 43° | 96% |
| German model (ICON) | 54° | 43° | 63% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 57° | 43° | 100% |
| The average | 56° | 42° | 71% |
High 43° Low 36° Rain 64%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 68 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 43° | 32° | 49% |
| US model (GFS) | 42° | 36° | 28% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 44° | 37° | 96% |
| German model (ICON) | 43° | 37° | 80% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 43° | 38° | 67% |
| The average | 43° | 36° | 64% |
High 46° Low 35° Rain 11%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 28 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 47° | 34° | 1% |
| US model (GFS) | 46° | 32° | 2% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 47° | 36° | 6% |
| German model (ICON) | 46° | 35° | 15% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 45° | 35° | 29% |
| The average | 46° | 35° | 11% |
High 48° Low 35° Rain 1%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 4 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 49° | 32° | 1% |
| US model (GFS) | 47° | 34° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 49° | 39° | 4% |
| German model (ICON) | 47° | 38° | 1% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 48° | 33° | 0% |
| The average | 48° | 35° | 1% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.