Carmel, NY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Putnam County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
← All cities and the scoreboard
High 51° Low 42° Rain 96%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 14 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 39° | 99% |
| US model (GFS) | 52° | 42° | 86% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 50° | 44° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 49° | 44° | 100% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 53° | 42° | 97% |
| The average | 51° | 42° | 96% |
High 43° Low 33° Rain 95%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 21 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 42° | 31° | 94% |
| US model (GFS) | 42° | 34° | 79% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 44° | 34° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 44° | 33° | 100% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 44° | 34° | 100% |
| The average | 43° | 33° | 95% |
High 43° Low 32° Rain 8%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 23 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 45° | 32° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 41° | 32° | 6% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 43° | 29° | 6% |
| German model (ICON) | 44° | 33° | 23% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 42° | 33° | 5% |
| The average | 43° | 32° | 8% |
High 45° Low 33° Rain 1%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 4 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 47° | 32° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 44° | 30° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 43° | 35° | 4% |
| German model (ICON) | 45° | 36° | 3% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 45° | 31° | 0% |
| The average | 45° | 33° | 1% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.