Minority Report

Carnesville, GA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Franklin County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 67°   Low 46°   Rain 15%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 37 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 37% against a group average of 15%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—37°0%
US model (GFS)68°47°28%
European model (ECMWF)67°52°37%
German model (ICON)66°44°5%
Canadian model (GEM)66°49°5%
The average67°46°15%

Friday, November 13

High 55°   Low 38°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°33°0%
US model (GFS)55°38°1%
European model (ECMWF)52°42°0%
German model (ICON)56°36°0%
Canadian model (GEM)54°41°0%
The average55°38°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 56°   Low 33°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°29°0%
US model (GFS)56°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)54°38°0%
German model (ICON)57°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)55°34°0%
The average56°33°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 56°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°33°0%
US model (GFS)57°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)55°31°0%
German model (ICON)56°28°0%
Canadian model (GEM)55°27°0%
The average56°30°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.