Caro, MI — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Tuscola County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 47° Low 37° Rain 59%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 59 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 30° | 68% |
| US model (GFS) | 47° | 36° | 28% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 49° | 39° | 87% |
| German model (ICON) | 47° | 39° | 68% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 46° | 39° | 43% |
| The average | 47° | 37° | 59% |
High 40° Low 33° Rain 69%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 33 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 41° | 28° | 58% |
| US model (GFS) | 39° | 33° | 58% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 41° | 35° | 91% |
| German model (ICON) | 39° | 35° | 78% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 39° | 35° | 58% |
| The average | 40° | 33° | 69% |
High 43° Low 34° Rain 5%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 14 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 43° | 30° | 5% |
| US model (GFS) | 43° | 35° | 14% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 43° | 36° | 2% |
| German model (ICON) | 44° | 35° | 3% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 41° | 36° | 0% |
| The average | 43° | 34° | 5% |
High 43° Low 31° Rain 1%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 4 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 44° | 27° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 44° | 36° | 1% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 42° | 32° | 4% |
| German model (ICON) | 44° | 34° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 42° | 25° | 0% |
| The average | 43° | 31° | 1% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.