Minority Report

Carrizo Springs, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Dimmit County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 77°   Low 56°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 2 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—51°0%
US model (GFS)77°57°0%
European model (ECMWF)78°57°2%
German model (ICON)76°59°0%
Canadian model (GEM)76°57°0%
The average77°56°0%

Friday, November 13

High 75°   Low 53°   Rain 2%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 11 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service75°54°11%
US model (GFS)73°55°1%
European model (ECMWF)76°54°0%
German model (ICON)75°57°0%
Canadian model (GEM)76°47°0%
The average75°53°2%

Saturday, November 14

High 73°   Low 58°   Rain 42%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 44 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 19% against a group average of 42%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service71°61°39%
US model (GFS)71°58°39%
European model (ECMWF)74°58°63%
German model (ICON)73°60°51%
Canadian model (GEM)78°55°19%
The average73°58°42%

Sunday, November 15

High 77°   Low 61°   Rain 32%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 49 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 58% against a group average of 32%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service74°55°9%
US model (GFS)76°64°24%
European model (ECMWF)79°60°43%
German model (ICON)78°65°27%
Canadian model (GEM)80°62°58%
The average77°61°32%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.