Minority Report

Carroll County, AR — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Carroll County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 59°   Low 36°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—31°0%
US model (GFS)60°38°0%
European model (ECMWF)58°37°0%
German model (ICON)59°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)58°37°0%
The average59°36°0%

Friday, November 13

High 48°   Low 29°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°27°0%
US model (GFS)47°30°0%
European model (ECMWF)47°33°0%
German model (ICON)49°27°0%
Canadian model (GEM)49°29°0%
The average48°29°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 50°   Low 28°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°34°3%
US model (GFS)52°23°0%
European model (ECMWF)49°30°0%
German model (ICON)52°26°0%
Canadian model (GEM)49°24°0%
The average50°28°1%

Sunday, November 15

High 53°   Low 34°   Rain 21%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 15 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°35°19%
US model (GFS)55°35°21%
European model (ECMWF)52°34°14%
German model (ICON)55°32°22%
Canadian model (GEM)50°33°29%
The average53°34°21%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.