Minority Report

Carrollton, AL — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Pickens County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 69°   Low 48°   Rain 11%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 29 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 29% against a group average of 11%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—36°0%
US model (GFS)71°53°24%
European model (ECMWF)68°50°4%
German model (ICON)67°47°0%
Canadian model (GEM)69°55°29%
The average69°48°11%

Friday, November 13

High 54°   Low 36°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°31°0%
US model (GFS)54°39°0%
European model (ECMWF)54°39°0%
German model (ICON)54°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)55°41°0%
The average54°36°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 56°   Low 32°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°32°0%
US model (GFS)57°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)54°35°0%
German model (ICON)56°26°0%
Canadian model (GEM)55°36°0%
The average56°32°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 58°   Low 36°   Rain 3%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 8 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service59°36°8%
US model (GFS)60°37°2%
European model (ECMWF)57°36°2%
German model (ICON)60°33°2%
Canadian model (GEM)57°37°0%
The average58°36°3%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.