Minority Report

Carrollton, IL — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Greene County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 48°   Low 34°   Rain 4%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 8 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—31°1%
US model (GFS)47°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)48°40°4%
German model (ICON)48°34°8%
Canadian model (GEM)48°31°5%
The average48°34°4%

Friday, November 13

High 44°   Low 29°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°24°1%
US model (GFS)44°30°0%
European model (ECMWF)42°36°0%
German model (ICON)45°28°0%
Canadian model (GEM)42°26°0%
The average44°29°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 47°   Low 24°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°25°0%
US model (GFS)48°23°0%
European model (ECMWF)46°29°0%
German model (ICON)48°23°0%
Canadian model (GEM)45°20°0%
The average47°24°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 51°   Low 25°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°26°0%
US model (GFS)52°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)50°28°0%
German model (ICON)53°25°0%
Canadian model (GEM)49°16°0%
The average51°25°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.