Carrollton, KY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Carroll County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 55° Low 41° Rain 49%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 71 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 39° | 18% |
| US model (GFS) | 55° | 42° | 28% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 54° | 43° | 84% |
| German model (ICON) | 55° | 42° | 25% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 55° | 42° | 89% |
| The average | 55° | 41° | 49% |
High 46° Low 35° Rain 45%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 46 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 44° | 29° | 42% |
| US model (GFS) | 46° | 35° | 19% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 48° | 38° | 65% |
| German model (ICON) | 47° | 36° | 45% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 44° | 37° | 52% |
| The average | 46° | 35° | 45% |
High 47° Low 30° Rain 0%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 48° | 29° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 49° | 29° | 2% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 48° | 32° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 46° | 30° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 47° | 30° | 0% |
| The average | 47° | 30° | 0% |
High 51° Low 33° Rain 0%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 52° | 30° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 53° | 38° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 48° | 36° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 54° | 37° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 48° | 26° | 0% |
| The average | 51° | 33° | 0% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.