Minority Report

Carrollton, OH — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Carroll County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 48°   Low 40°   Rain 70%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 71 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 29% against a group average of 70%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—34°29%
US model (GFS)47°40°52%
European model (ECMWF)48°42°100%
German model (ICON)48°41°98%
Canadian model (GEM)50°41°69%
The average48°40°70%

Friday, November 13

High 44°   Low 33°   Rain 19%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 42 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 47% against a group average of 19%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°30°47%
US model (GFS)41°33°15%
European model (ECMWF)44°33°10%
German model (ICON)43°33°20%
Canadian model (GEM)45°35°5%
The average44°33°19%

Saturday, November 14

High 42°   Low 33°   Rain 40%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 37 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 62% against a group average of 40%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°31°47%
US model (GFS)40°33°28%
European model (ECMWF)43°33°39%
German model (ICON)44°33°25%
Canadian model (GEM)43°34°62%
The average42°33°40%

Sunday, November 15

High 44°   Low 35°   Rain 23%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 41 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 51% against a group average of 23%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°31°12%
US model (GFS)44°34°10%
European model (ECMWF)44°39°27%
German model (ICON)46°36°15%
Canadian model (GEM)42°34°51%
The average44°35°23%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.