Minority Report

Carson, ND — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Grant County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 39°   Low 29°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 5 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—25°0%
US model (GFS)37°30°0%
European model (ECMWF)39°31°0%
German model (ICON)38°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)41°28°5%
The average39°29°1%

Friday, November 13

High 41°   Low 27°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 11°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service40°26°0%
US model (GFS)34°30°0%
European model (ECMWF)44°28°0%
German model (ICON)42°26°0%
Canadian model (GEM)45°26°0%
The average41°27°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 46°   Low 31°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°31°0%
US model (GFS)48°30°0%
European model (ECMWF)46°32°0%
German model (ICON)46°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)47°31°0%
The average46°31°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 55°   Low 36°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°33°0%
US model (GFS)55°39°0%
European model (ECMWF)56°37°0%
German model (ICON)55°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)56°36°0%
The average55°36°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.