Minority Report

Carthage, MS — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Leake County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 70°   Low 48°   Rain 3%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 8 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—36°0%
US model (GFS)72°52°8%
European model (ECMWF)70°52°8%
German model (ICON)70°46°0%
Canadian model (GEM)70°54°0%
The average70°48°3%

Friday, November 13

High 57°   Low 35°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service59°32°0%
US model (GFS)55°38°0%
European model (ECMWF)56°40°0%
German model (ICON)56°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)58°39°0%
The average57°35°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 57°   Low 32°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service58°31°0%
US model (GFS)58°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)55°35°0%
German model (ICON)57°26°0%
Canadian model (GEM)55°35°0%
The average57°32°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 60°   Low 36°   Rain 14%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 14 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service61°35°18%
US model (GFS)63°38°11%
European model (ECMWF)58°38°9%
German model (ICON)61°30°23%
Canadian model (GEM)58°37°11%
The average60°36°14%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.