Minority Report

Carthage, NC — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Moore County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 71°   Low 46°   Rain 12%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 1°, rain spread 28 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 28% against a group average of 12%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—40°1%
US model (GFS)71°48°17%
European model (ECMWF)70°51°14%
German model (ICON)71°45°28%
Canadian model (GEM)72°46°0%
The average71°46°12%

Friday, November 13

High 57°   Low 39°   Rain 5%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 8 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service58°34°7%
US model (GFS)56°40°3%
European model (ECMWF)56°44°8%
German model (ICON)57°36°5%
Canadian model (GEM)58°41°0%
The average57°39°5%

Saturday, November 14

High 53°   Low 33°   Rain 1%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°30°0%
US model (GFS)52°33°1%
European model (ECMWF)53°38°3%
German model (ICON)53°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)52°35°0%
The average53°33°1%

Sunday, November 15

High 55°   Low 32°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°31°0%
US model (GFS)55°35°0%
European model (ECMWF)55°36°0%
German model (ICON)56°25°0%
Canadian model (GEM)53°32°0%
The average55°32°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.