Minority Report

Caruthersville, MO — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Pemiscot County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 62°   Low 40°   Rain 9%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 32 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 32% against a group average of 9%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—35°0%
US model (GFS)61°39°8%
European model (ECMWF)62°43°32%
German model (ICON)61°41°0%
Canadian model (GEM)64°42°5%
The average62°40°9%

Friday, November 13

High 49°   Low 34°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°31°0%
US model (GFS)47°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)48°37°0%
German model (ICON)50°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)50°35°0%
The average49°34°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 51°   Low 31°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°32°0%
US model (GFS)51°31°0%
European model (ECMWF)50°33°0%
German model (ICON)51°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)51°29°0%
The average51°31°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 54°   Low 34°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°34°2%
US model (GFS)54°38°1%
European model (ECMWF)55°36°0%
German model (ICON)57°35°0%
Canadian model (GEM)54°28°0%
The average54°34°1%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.