Minority Report

Casper, WY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Natrona County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 63°   Low 39°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—35°0%
US model (GFS)63°41°0%
European model (ECMWF)61°42°0%
German model (ICON)64°37°0%
Canadian model (GEM)64°41°0%
The average63°39°0%

Friday, November 13

High 63°   Low 35°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service64°37°0%
US model (GFS)63°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)61°41°0%
German model (ICON)62°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)64°34°0%
The average63°35°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 59°   Low 35°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service59°33°0%
US model (GFS)58°32°1%
European model (ECMWF)58°40°0%
German model (ICON)60°41°0%
Canadian model (GEM)58°28°0%
The average59°35°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 55°   Low 38°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 5 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°35°0%
US model (GFS)52°38°1%
European model (ECMWF)54°39°0%
German model (ICON)55°39°0%
Canadian model (GEM)57°41°5%
The average55°38°1%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.