Minority Report

Cassopolis, MI — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Cass County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 47°   Low 36°   Rain 61%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 55 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 95% against a group average of 61%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—30°43%
US model (GFS)46°38°40%
European model (ECMWF)48°38°71%
German model (ICON)46°38°55%
Canadian model (GEM)47°36°95%
The average47°36°61%

Friday, November 13

High 41°   Low 29°   Rain 38%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 41 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 17% against a group average of 38%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°27°17%
US model (GFS)40°30°27%
European model (ECMWF)42°30°41%
German model (ICON)41°32°58%
Canadian model (GEM)40°28°48%
The average41°29°38%

Saturday, November 14

High 44°   Low 30°   Rain 20%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 28 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 4% against a group average of 20%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°33°32%
US model (GFS)46°30°26%
European model (ECMWF)45°28°4%
German model (ICON)45°30°23%
Canadian model (GEM)41°26°14%
The average44°30°20%

Sunday, November 15

High 46°   Low 35°   Rain 17%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 24 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 4% against a group average of 17%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°30°28%
US model (GFS)46°36°26%
European model (ECMWF)46°39°4%
German model (ICON)47°38°8%
Canadian model (GEM)43°33°19%
The average46°35°17%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.