Minority Report

Cassville, MO — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Barry County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 58°   Low 33°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—29°0%
US model (GFS)58°35°0%
European model (ECMWF)57°36°0%
German model (ICON)59°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)58°32°0%
The average58°33°0%

Friday, November 13

High 47°   Low 28°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°27°0%
US model (GFS)45°28°0%
European model (ECMWF)46°32°0%
German model (ICON)49°26°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°26°0%
The average47°28°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 50°   Low 27°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°33°3%
US model (GFS)51°24°0%
European model (ECMWF)48°29°0%
German model (ICON)53°28°0%
Canadian model (GEM)49°24°0%
The average50°27°1%

Sunday, November 15

High 52°   Low 34°   Rain 20%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 29 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 39% against a group average of 20%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°34°14%
US model (GFS)55°35°17%
European model (ECMWF)51°34°10%
German model (ICON)55°31°18%
Canadian model (GEM)49°35°39%
The average52°34°20%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.