Castle Dale, UT — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Emery County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 57° Low 33° Rain 0%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 34° | 1% |
| US model (GFS) | 58° | 28° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 56° | 35° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 56° | 33° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 57° | 36° | 0% |
| The average | 57° | 33° | 0% |
High 53° Low 35° Rain 61%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 62 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 54° | 38° | 92% |
| US model (GFS) | 55° | 33° | 41% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 52° | 37° | 82% |
| German model (ICON) | 52° | 34° | 30% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 51° | 34° | 62% |
| The average | 53° | 35° | 61% |
High 48° Low 34° Rain 86%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 22 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 49° | 30° | 92% |
| US model (GFS) | 47° | 37° | 85% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 47° | 38° | 98% |
| German model (ICON) | 52° | 35° | 80% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 46° | 30° | 76% |
| The average | 48° | 34° | 86% |
High 48° Low 29° Rain 0%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 49° | 30° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 47° | 34° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 49° | 28° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 50° | 31° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 46° | 22° | 0% |
| The average | 48° | 29° | 0% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.