Minority Report

Cathlamet, WA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Wahkiakum County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 61°   Low 52°   Rain 25%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 84 points, 3 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 86% against a group average of 25%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—51°86%
US model (GFS)62°54°8%
German model (ICON)60°50°5%
Canadian model (GEM)61°52°2%
The average61°52°25%

Friday, November 13

High 55°   Low 50°   Rain 92%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 1°, rain spread 16 points, 4 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°49°96%
US model (GFS)55°49°84%
German model (ICON)56°51°100%
Canadian model (GEM)56°51°90%
The average55°50°92%

Saturday, November 14

High 54°   Low 49°   Rain 98%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 5 points, 4 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°50°100%
US model (GFS)53°48°100%
German model (ICON)55°48°97%
Canadian model (GEM)55°50°95%
The average54°49°98%

Sunday, November 15

High 54°   Low 45°   Rain 98%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 4 points, 4 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°44°96%
US model (GFS)55°43°100%
German model (ICON)54°46°98%
Canadian model (GEM)54°46°100%
The average54°45°98%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.