Minority Report

Catskill, NY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Greene County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 47°   Low 38°   Rain 100%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 0°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—33°99%
US model (GFS)46°38°100%
European model (ECMWF)47°41°100%
German model (ICON)47°38°100%
Canadian model (GEM)46°39°100%
The average47°38°100%

Friday, November 13

High 40°   Low 34°   Rain 94%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 26 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 74% against a group average of 94%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service40°30°74%
US model (GFS)40°35°98%
European model (ECMWF)41°35°100%
German model (ICON)42°36°100%
Canadian model (GEM)39°33°100%
The average40°34°94%

Saturday, November 14

High 44°   Low 33°   Rain 4%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 10 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°31°4%
US model (GFS)42°34°3%
European model (ECMWF)45°34°10%
German model (ICON)45°36°5%
Canadian model (GEM)43°31°0%
The average44°33°4%

Sunday, November 15

High 46°   Low 35°   Rain 3%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 10 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°30°5%
US model (GFS)44°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)46°38°10%
German model (ICON)46°39°0%
Canadian model (GEM)45°37°0%
The average46°35°3%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.