Celina, OH — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Mercer County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 48° Low 39° Rain 90%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 33 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 36° | 82% |
| US model (GFS) | 48° | 41° | 67% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 51° | 41° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 48° | 41° | 100% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 46° | 38° | 100% |
| The average | 48° | 39° | 90% |
High 41° Low 32° Rain 53%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 70 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 40° | 27° | 23% |
| US model (GFS) | 41° | 31° | 19% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 42° | 38° | 82% |
| German model (ICON) | 42° | 33° | 50% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 41° | 32° | 89% |
| The average | 41° | 32° | 53% |
High 44° Low 30° Rain 2%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 5 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 45° | 34° | 3% |
| US model (GFS) | 44° | 31° | 2% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 45° | 31° | 1% |
| German model (ICON) | 45° | 28° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 42° | 24° | 5% |
| The average | 44° | 30° | 2% |
High 46° Low 35° Rain 2%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 5 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 48° | 32° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 46° | 37° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 45° | 39° | 4% |
| German model (ICON) | 47° | 36° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 44° | 28° | 5% |
| The average | 46° | 35° | 2% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.