Minority Report

Celina, TN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Clay County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 58°   Low 40°   Rain 57%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 0°, rain spread 92 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 8% against a group average of 57%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—30°8%
US model (GFS)58°45°22%
European model (ECMWF)58°42°100%
German model (ICON)58°44°53%
Canadian model (GEM)58°42°100%
The average58°40°57%

Friday, November 13

High 46°   Low 34°   Rain 28%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 62 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 69% against a group average of 28%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°28°30%
US model (GFS)45°35°7%
European model (ECMWF)45°37°69%
German model (ICON)46°35°10%
Canadian model (GEM)46°37°24%
The average46°34°28%

Saturday, November 14

High 49°   Low 31°   Rain 7%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 19 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 19% against a group average of 7%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°27°0%
US model (GFS)49°31°2%
European model (ECMWF)47°32°14%
German model (ICON)50°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)49°30°19%
The average49°31°7%

Sunday, November 15

High 53°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°27°0%
US model (GFS)54°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)53°34°0%
German model (ICON)55°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)51°25°0%
The average53°30°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.