Minority Report

Center, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Shelby County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 76°   Low 52°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—45°0%
US model (GFS)78°54°0%
European model (ECMWF)77°55°0%
German model (ICON)76°52°0%
Canadian model (GEM)75°54°0%
The average76°52°0%

Friday, November 13

High 67°   Low 47°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service68°42°1%
US model (GFS)66°50°0%
European model (ECMWF)67°51°0%
German model (ICON)65°44°0%
Canadian model (GEM)69°49°0%
The average67°47°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 62°   Low 43°   Rain 7%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 15 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service62°42°15%
US model (GFS)64°43°4%
European model (ECMWF)62°45°8%
German model (ICON)59°38°7%
Canadian model (GEM)61°46°0%
The average62°43°7%

Sunday, November 15

High 55°   Low 45°   Rain 79%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 12°, rain spread 27 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 94% against a group average of 79%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service60°41°79%
US model (GFS)61°46°67%
European model (ECMWF)51°46°94%
German model (ICON)49°46°78%
Canadian model (GEM)56°45°76%
The average55°45°79%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.