Minority Report

Centerville, MO — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Reynolds County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 57°   Low 37°   Rain 3%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 11 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—30°0%
US model (GFS)59°38°4%
European model (ECMWF)57°40°0%
German model (ICON)56°36°0%
Canadian model (GEM)57°41°11%
The average57°37°3%

Friday, November 13

High 46°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°23°0%
US model (GFS)43°30°0%
European model (ECMWF)45°33°0%
German model (ICON)48°28°0%
Canadian model (GEM)46°34°0%
The average46°30°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 50°   Low 27°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°25°0%
US model (GFS)51°25°0%
European model (ECMWF)49°29°0%
German model (ICON)50°26°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°28°0%
The average50°27°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 53°   Low 30°   Rain 2%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 5 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°28°3%
US model (GFS)53°34°1%
European model (ECMWF)53°31°0%
German model (ICON)55°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)51°27°5%
The average53°30°2%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.