Minority Report

Centre, AL — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Cherokee County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 63°   Low 46°   Rain 55%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 100 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 0% against a group average of 55%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—34°0%
US model (GFS)64°48°37%
European model (ECMWF)62°48°100%
German model (ICON)63°49°58%
Canadian model (GEM)62°50°81%
The average63°46°55%

Friday, November 13

High 52°   Low 37°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°32°0%
US model (GFS)51°35°0%
European model (ECMWF)49°40°0%
German model (ICON)53°38°0%
Canadian model (GEM)51°40°0%
The average52°37°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 54°   Low 34°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°30°0%
US model (GFS)54°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)52°38°0%
German model (ICON)54°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)52°37°0%
The average54°34°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 56°   Low 33°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service58°32°1%
US model (GFS)56°31°0%
European model (ECMWF)55°36°0%
German model (ICON)56°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)54°35°0%
The average56°33°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.