Minority Report

Centreville, AL — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Bibb County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 69°   Low 48°   Rain 21%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 69 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 69% against a group average of 21%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—38°0%
US model (GFS)70°50°22%
European model (ECMWF)69°51°69%
German model (ICON)68°48°3%
Canadian model (GEM)69°52°10%
The average69°48°21%

Friday, November 13

High 55°   Low 36°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service57°32°0%
US model (GFS)54°38°0%
European model (ECMWF)54°39°0%
German model (ICON)54°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)56°41°0%
The average55°36°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 55°   Low 32°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°32°0%
US model (GFS)56°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)54°35°0%
German model (ICON)56°26°0%
Canadian model (GEM)54°35°0%
The average55°32°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 58°   Low 34°   Rain 2%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 5 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service59°36°5%
US model (GFS)58°36°1%
European model (ECMWF)57°36°2%
German model (ICON)59°28°0%
Canadian model (GEM)57°36°0%
The average58°34°2%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.