Centreville, MD — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Queen Anne's County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 65° Low 48° Rain 52%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 72 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 39° | 30% |
| US model (GFS) | 66° | 48° | 26% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 64° | 50° | 98% |
| German model (ICON) | 62° | 52° | 75% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 67° | 50° | 33% |
| The average | 65° | 48° | 52% |
High 50° Low 39° Rain 60%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 44 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 49° | 33° | 61% |
| US model (GFS) | 48° | 38° | 40% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 52° | 41° | 84% |
| German model (ICON) | 52° | 43° | 60% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 51° | 42° | 54% |
| The average | 50° | 39° | 60% |
High 49° Low 37° Rain 21%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 39 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 50° | 35° | 1% |
| US model (GFS) | 47° | 34° | 5% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 48° | 39° | 22% |
| German model (ICON) | 50° | 41° | 40% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 48° | 38° | 39% |
| The average | 49° | 37° | 21% |
High 51° Low 39° Rain 1%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 4 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 53° | 34° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 49° | 37° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 51° | 40° | 4% |
| German model (ICON) | 51° | 44° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 50° | 40° | 0% |
| The average | 51° | 39° | 1% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.