Centreville, MI — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of St. Joseph County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
← All cities and the scoreboard
High 46° Low 37° Rain 68%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 60 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 31° | 35% |
| US model (GFS) | 45° | 38° | 63% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 46° | 40° | 91% |
| German model (ICON) | 46° | 37° | 58% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 45° | 38° | 95% |
| The average | 46° | 37° | 68% |
High 40° Low 30° Rain 30%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 39 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 42° | 27° | 14% |
| US model (GFS) | 39° | 32° | 25% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 41° | 31° | 53% |
| German model (ICON) | 40° | 31° | 35% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 40° | 30° | 21% |
| The average | 40° | 30° | 30% |
High 46° Low 30° Rain 3%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 11 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 46° | 32° | 11% |
| US model (GFS) | 45° | 32° | 3% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 46° | 29° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 46° | 30° | 3% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 45° | 27° | 0% |
| The average | 46° | 30° | 3% |
High 47° Low 34° Rain 3%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 12 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 47° | 30° | 12% |
| US model (GFS) | 48° | 37° | 1% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 46° | 38° | 2% |
| German model (ICON) | 47° | 38° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 45° | 28° | 0% |
| The average | 47° | 34° | 3% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.