Minority Report

Chadron, NE — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Dawes County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 61°   Low 36°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—35°0%
US model (GFS)61°35°0%
European model (ECMWF)62°40°0%
German model (ICON)59°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)60°36°0%
The average61°36°0%

Friday, November 13

High 59°   Low 37°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service60°38°1%
US model (GFS)56°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)62°41°0%
German model (ICON)56°36°0%
Canadian model (GEM)62°35°0%
The average59°37°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 49°   Low 37°   Rain 2%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 9°, rain spread 5 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°37°3%
US model (GFS)49°32°1%
European model (ECMWF)48°41°0%
German model (ICON)45°38°0%
Canadian model (GEM)54°35°5%
The average49°37°2%

Sunday, November 15

High 59°   Low 41°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 5 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service57°38°0%
US model (GFS)61°42°0%
European model (ECMWF)58°42°0%
German model (ICON)60°43°0%
Canadian model (GEM)58°40°5%
The average59°41°1%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.