Minority Report

Chalmette, LA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of St. Bernard Parish.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 75°   Low 60°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—53°0%
US model (GFS)77°60°0%
European model (ECMWF)73°64°0%
German model (ICON)75°64°0%
Canadian model (GEM)74°61°0%
The average75°60°0%

Friday, November 13

High 67°   Low 51°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service66°47°0%
US model (GFS)69°49°0%
European model (ECMWF)64°53°0%
German model (ICON)66°52°0%
Canadian model (GEM)68°56°0%
The average67°51°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 59°   Low 48°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service59°51°0%
US model (GFS)61°43°0%
European model (ECMWF)58°49°0%
German model (ICON)60°46°0%
Canadian model (GEM)59°51°0%
The average59°48°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 65°   Low 54°   Rain 16%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 30 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 0% against a group average of 16%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service65°53°30%
US model (GFS)66°57°8%
European model (ECMWF)64°52°30%
German model (ICON)64°53°10%
Canadian model (GEM)64°56°0%
The average65°54°16%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.