Minority Report

Chamberlain, SD — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Brule County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 42°   Low 27°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—22°0%
US model (GFS)41°26°0%
European model (ECMWF)43°30°0%
German model (ICON)41°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)43°26°0%
The average42°27°0%

Friday, November 13

High 45°   Low 26°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°27°0%
US model (GFS)41°24°0%
European model (ECMWF)45°28°0%
German model (ICON)45°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)46°23°0%
The average45°26°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 49°   Low 31°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°33°0%
US model (GFS)51°27°0%
European model (ECMWF)48°33°0%
German model (ICON)50°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)50°30°0%
The average49°31°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 57°   Low 39°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°38°0%
US model (GFS)56°38°0%
European model (ECMWF)58°39°0%
German model (ICON)60°40°0%
Canadian model (GEM)57°39°0%
The average57°39°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.