Minority Report

Chambersburg, PA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Franklin County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 58°   Low 42°   Rain 55%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 53 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 28% against a group average of 55%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—37°28%
US model (GFS)56°42°32%
European model (ECMWF)61°44°81%
German model (ICON)57°44°55%
Canadian model (GEM)57°44°81%
The average58°42°55%

Friday, November 13

High 45°   Low 36°   Rain 50%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 62 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 14% against a group average of 50%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°32°35%
US model (GFS)42°35°14%
European model (ECMWF)47°40°76%
German model (ICON)44°35°55%
Canadian model (GEM)45°39°71%
The average45°36°50%

Saturday, November 14

High 46°   Low 34°   Rain 7%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 18 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 20% against a group average of 7%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°34°8%
US model (GFS)46°31°2%
European model (ECMWF)48°36°4%
German model (ICON)46°33°3%
Canadian model (GEM)46°37°20%
The average46°34°7%

Sunday, November 15

High 48°   Low 37°   Rain 2%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 6 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°31°0%
US model (GFS)47°35°0%
European model (ECMWF)48°40°6%
German model (ICON)48°38°3%
Canadian model (GEM)47°40°0%
The average48°37°2%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.