Minority Report

Channing, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Hartley County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 70°   Low 39°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—38°0%
US model (GFS)69°42°0%
European model (ECMWF)70°42°0%
German model (ICON)69°39°0%
Canadian model (GEM)70°33°0%
The average70°39°0%

Friday, November 13

High 63°   Low 39°   Rain 3%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 13 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 13% against a group average of 3%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service63°41°13%
US model (GFS)67°39°1%
European model (ECMWF)62°42°0%
German model (ICON)61°37°0%
Canadian model (GEM)63°35°0%
The average63°39°3%

Saturday, November 14

High 48°   Low 40°   Rain 84%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 24 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 100% against a group average of 84%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°40°76%
US model (GFS)53°38°79%
European model (ECMWF)45°41°100%
German model (ICON)46°42°86%
Canadian model (GEM)46°39°78%
The average48°40°84%

Sunday, November 15

High 46°   Low 40°   Rain 48%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 71 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 7% against a group average of 48%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°37°7%
US model (GFS)48°42°78%
European model (ECMWF)45°40°58%
German model (ICON)45°42°60%
Canadian model (GEM)45°38°35%
The average46°40°48%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.