Minority Report

Chappell, NE — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Deuel County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 62°   Low 34°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—30°0%
US model (GFS)63°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)62°38°0%
German model (ICON)64°36°0%
Canadian model (GEM)60°33°0%
The average62°34°0%

Friday, November 13

High 56°   Low 34°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 9°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service57°29°0%
US model (GFS)50°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)59°37°0%
German model (ICON)56°38°0%
Canadian model (GEM)59°32°0%
The average56°34°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 49°   Low 34°   Rain 13%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 16 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 24% against a group average of 13%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°31°16%
US model (GFS)50°31°9%
European model (ECMWF)49°39°8%
German model (ICON)49°35°8%
Canadian model (GEM)48°33°24%
The average49°34°13%

Sunday, November 15

High 50°   Low 35°   Rain 9%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 21 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 21% against a group average of 9%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°29°1%
US model (GFS)48°40°12%
European model (ECMWF)52°39°0%
German model (ICON)50°40°10%
Canadian model (GEM)49°29°21%
The average50°35°9%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.