Chardon, OH — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Geauga County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 47° Low 38° Rain 79%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 75 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 34° | 25% |
| US model (GFS) | 47° | 39° | 78% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 48° | 39° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 45° | 38° | 100% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 46° | 37° | 93% |
| The average | 47° | 38° | 79% |
High 39° Low 34° Rain 66%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 65 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 38° | 34° | 79% |
| US model (GFS) | 39° | 32° | 34% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 41° | 35° | 99% |
| German model (ICON) | 40° | 33° | 50% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 39° | 35° | 67% |
| The average | 39° | 34° | 66% |
High 41° Low 35° Rain 88%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 21 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 43° | 34° | 85% |
| US model (GFS) | 41° | 36° | 82% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 41° | 34° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 41° | 35° | 79% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 40° | 36° | 95% |
| The average | 41° | 35° | 88% |
High 42° Low 38° Rain 70%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 13 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 44° | 34° | 74% |
| US model (GFS) | 42° | 39° | 62% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 42° | 38° | 69% |
| German model (ICON) | 42° | 39° | 75% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 42° | 38° | 71% |
| The average | 42° | 38° | 70% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.