Charles Town, WV — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Jefferson County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 61° Low 44° Rain 43%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 72 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 40° | 10% |
| US model (GFS) | 58° | 44° | 18% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 63° | 46° | 82% |
| German model (ICON) | 60° | 46° | 78% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 63° | 44° | 29% |
| The average | 61° | 44° | 43% |
High 48° Low 35° Rain 25%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 37 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 47° | 30° | 14% |
| US model (GFS) | 46° | 34° | 3% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 50° | 42° | 36% |
| German model (ICON) | 48° | 34° | 40% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 49° | 34° | 33% |
| The average | 48° | 35° | 25% |
High 48° Low 33° Rain 5%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 8 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 49° | 32° | 7% |
| US model (GFS) | 47° | 31° | 2% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 48° | 38° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 49° | 32° | 8% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 48° | 32° | 7% |
| The average | 48° | 33° | 5% |
High 50° Low 36° Rain 0%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 52° | 30° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 48° | 35° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 50° | 41° | 2% |
| German model (ICON) | 50° | 38° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 49° | 36° | 0% |
| The average | 50° | 36° | 0% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.