Minority Report

Charleston, WV — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Kanawha County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 53°   Low 42°   Rain 91%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 0°, rain spread 25 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 75% against a group average of 91%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—35°75%
US model (GFS)53°43°82%
European model (ECMWF)53°44°100%
German model (ICON)53°41°100%
Canadian model (GEM)53°45°100%
The average53°42°91%

Friday, November 13

High 48°   Low 37°   Rain 67%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 58 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 100% against a group average of 67%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°31°42%
US model (GFS)46°38°42%
European model (ECMWF)48°38°100%
German model (ICON)46°36°78%
Canadian model (GEM)50°40°74%
The average48°37°67%

Saturday, November 14

High 46°   Low 34°   Rain 19%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 36 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 41% against a group average of 19%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°31°5%
US model (GFS)46°35°7%
European model (ECMWF)48°35°41%
German model (ICON)45°34°18%
Canadian model (GEM)44°36°24%
The average46°34°19%

Sunday, November 15

High 48°   Low 34°   Rain 2%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 7 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°30°0%
US model (GFS)47°40°0%
European model (ECMWF)47°36°7%
German model (ICON)49°34°3%
Canadian model (GEM)46°31°0%
The average48°34°2%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.