Charlevoix, MI — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Charlevoix County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 45° Low 36° Rain 68%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 61 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 35° | 42% |
| US model (GFS) | 44° | 34° | 38% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 44° | 36° | 99% |
| German model (ICON) | 45° | 35° | 68% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 46° | 36° | 92% |
| The average | 45° | 36° | 68% |
High 40° Low 35° Rain 42%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 54 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 40° | 36° | 63% |
| US model (GFS) | 39° | 34° | 31% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 40° | 36° | 74% |
| German model (ICON) | 40° | 34° | 20% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 42° | 36° | 24% |
| The average | 40° | 35° | 42% |
High 43° Low 38° Rain 28%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 64 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 43° | 36° | 24% |
| US model (GFS) | 43° | 38° | 11% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 41° | 39° | 75% |
| German model (ICON) | 44° | 38° | 15% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 43° | 39° | 15% |
| The average | 43° | 38° | 28% |
High 43° Low 38° Rain 6%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 11 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 44° | 37° | 11% |
| US model (GFS) | 43° | 35° | 4% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 44° | 38° | 8% |
| German model (ICON) | 44° | 40° | 5% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 42° | 40° | 0% |
| The average | 43° | 38° | 6% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.