Minority Report

Charlotte Court House, VA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Charlotte County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 67°   Low 42°   Rain 22%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 38 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 43% against a group average of 22%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—40°5%
US model (GFS)68°43°13%
European model (ECMWF)67°45°39%
German model (ICON)66°40°43%
Canadian model (GEM)68°43°10%
The average67°42°22%

Friday, November 13

High 56°   Low 35°   Rain 6%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 10 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service58°28°7%
US model (GFS)54°35°3%
European model (ECMWF)54°43°8%
German model (ICON)55°32°10%
Canadian model (GEM)57°36°0%
The average56°35°6%

Saturday, November 14

High 52°   Low 30°   Rain 2%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°27°1%
US model (GFS)52°31°2%
European model (ECMWF)50°36°2%
German model (ICON)51°29°3%
Canadian model (GEM)52°28°0%
The average52°30°2%

Sunday, November 15

High 55°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service57°27°0%
US model (GFS)54°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)54°36°0%
German model (ICON)56°27°0%
Canadian model (GEM)53°28°0%
The average55°30°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.