Minority Report

Charlotte, MI — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Eaton County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 44°   Low 35°   Rain 78%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 0°, rain spread 69 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 31% against a group average of 78%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—32°31%
US model (GFS)44°35°83%
European model (ECMWF)43°37°100%
German model (ICON)43°37°80%
Canadian model (GEM)44°36°96%
The average44°35°78%

Friday, November 13

High 39°   Low 30°   Rain 20%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 22 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 35% against a group average of 20%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service40°26°18%
US model (GFS)38°31°13%
European model (ECMWF)40°31°35%
German model (ICON)40°32°18%
Canadian model (GEM)38°29°15%
The average39°30°20%

Saturday, November 14

High 43°   Low 30°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°31°2%
US model (GFS)41°31°3%
European model (ECMWF)43°29°0%
German model (ICON)46°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)43°29°0%
The average43°30°1%

Sunday, November 15

High 44°   Low 32°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°28°0%
US model (GFS)45°36°0%
European model (ECMWF)44°36°2%
German model (ICON)45°35°0%
Canadian model (GEM)42°25°0%
The average44°32°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.