Minority Report

Charlotte, NC — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Mecklenburg County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 70°   Low 46°   Rain 18%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 33 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 0% against a group average of 18%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—41°0%
US model (GFS)70°48°27%
European model (ECMWF)70°51°33%
German model (ICON)69°43°20%
Canadian model (GEM)70°48°10%
The average70°46°18%

Friday, November 13

High 56°   Low 39°   Rain 10%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 18 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 0% against a group average of 10%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service58°36°8%
US model (GFS)54°39°13%
European model (ECMWF)54°43°18%
German model (ICON)56°37°13%
Canadian model (GEM)57°41°0%
The average56°39°10%

Saturday, November 14

High 52°   Low 34°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°32°0%
US model (GFS)52°34°1%
European model (ECMWF)51°38°0%
German model (ICON)51°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)52°32°0%
The average52°34°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 54°   Low 32°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°34°0%
US model (GFS)54°36°0%
European model (ECMWF)52°35°0%
German model (ICON)56°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)52°25°0%
The average54°32°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.