Charlottesville, VA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Charlottesville city.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
← All cities and the scoreboard
High 67° Low 44° Rain 15%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 43 points, 3 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 44° | 5% |
| US model (GFS) | 68° | 46° | 12% |
| German model (ICON) | 66° | 44° | 43% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 68° | 42° | 0% |
| The average | 67° | 44° | 15% |
High 54° Low 35° Rain 4%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 8 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 54° | 32° | 5% |
| US model (GFS) | 52° | 35° | 4% |
| German model (ICON) | 55° | 35° | 8% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 55° | 38° | 0% |
| The average | 54° | 35° | 4% |
High 52° Low 30° Rain 1%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 3 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 53° | 30° | 3% |
| US model (GFS) | 51° | 29° | 2% |
| German model (ICON) | 51° | 27° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 51° | 33° | 0% |
| The average | 52° | 30° | 1% |
High 56° Low 30° Rain 0%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 57° | 29° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 55° | 32° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 57° | 32° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 53° | 26° | 0% |
| The average | 56° | 30° | 0% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.