Chatham, VA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Pittsylvania County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 67° Low 45° Rain 35%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 66 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 41° | 2% |
| US model (GFS) | 66° | 44° | 24% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 67° | 48° | 63% |
| German model (ICON) | 66° | 45° | 68% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 68° | 47° | 19% |
| The average | 67° | 45° | 35% |
High 55° Low 38° Rain 4%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 8 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 56° | 34° | 5% |
| US model (GFS) | 53° | 38° | 2% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 54° | 43° | 8% |
| German model (ICON) | 55° | 36° | 3% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 56° | 41° | 0% |
| The average | 55° | 38° | 4% |
High 51° Low 33° Rain 1%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 52° | 31° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 51° | 33° | 3% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 50° | 38° | 2% |
| German model (ICON) | 50° | 33° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 51° | 33° | 0% |
| The average | 51° | 33° | 1% |
High 54° Low 33° Rain 0%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 55° | 31° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 54° | 33° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 53° | 37° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 56° | 36° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 54° | 29° | 0% |
| The average | 54° | 33° | 0% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.