Minority Report

Chattanooga, TN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Hamilton County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 61°   Low 46°   Rain 63%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 93 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 7% against a group average of 63%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—36°7%
US model (GFS)62°46°52%
European model (ECMWF)62°51°82%
German model (ICON)61°48°73%
Canadian model (GEM)60°47°100%
The average61°46°63%

Friday, November 13

High 50°   Low 37°   Rain 3%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 8 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°34°1%
US model (GFS)49°36°1%
European model (ECMWF)52°42°3%
German model (ICON)52°38°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°35°8%
The average50°37°3%

Saturday, November 14

High 52°   Low 34°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 5 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°32°0%
US model (GFS)51°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)52°36°0%
German model (ICON)54°36°0%
Canadian model (GEM)50°31°5%
The average52°34°1%

Sunday, November 15

High 54°   Low 33°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°35°1%
US model (GFS)53°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)54°36°0%
German model (ICON)55°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)52°28°0%
The average54°33°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.